even $400usd is too much if the processor dies after 4 weeks.
Strongly agree. And i am still a bit worried about that. Trying to make a Taobao account to see more, but google translate does not do the Chinese captcha, and i need to many tries to pass it.
Compared to $10k plus for retail - buying another as spare is worth it.
I get what you mean, but it is really only true if you would know the probability of failure or at least an upper bound of it.
If the other one also fails after a week, and the next and the next. you can't make a good investment on these, no matter how many one would buy, as a back up. It's a bandit problem (finding out what slot machine gives the best returns). If i would have the money to buy a spare, and if i would be rational i would probably by one of another type of cpu compatible with the motherboard. Reconsidering that i should have probably bought a Motherboard, that had the better compatibility with later steppings. But i got a good deal Asus W790-ACE for 500 Euro.
Even though, we only have very small sample statistics available on the web and here about this topic, it seems that reliability is not such a big issue in practice as it is in theory. Because almost nobody is complaining, and like with reviews usually people with negative experiences are more likely to post reviews than, people with positive experiences. So my heuristic is to calculate with an cpu failure probability of 10% per year for these ES, it still makes it worth while, for my purposes. Calculating everything else with a pessimistic 2% per year. Also buying the real deal official intel cpu of $10K is not possible for me, also because loses its value very strongly, in 3 years its maybe worth $500 or so. Changing perspective 180 degrees, why are all these QYXX being sold, instead of used for cheap cloud services, probably because the sellers can get or do something better for the money, maybe E steppings? Or if something else, anyway i probably do not have access to it.